Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.404914 0.443527 0.484801 0.532304 0.585591 0.643663 0.711927
2025-11-16 0.343948 0.398289 0.460457 0.537286 0.630286 0.739986 0.880313
2025-11-23 0.304185 0.365327 0.438497 0.533385 0.654459 0.805513 1.010986
2025-11-30 0.278437 0.344279 0.425977 0.536180 0.683083 0.875255 1.150886
2025-12-07 0.254309 0.321993 0.408507 0.529086 0.695851 0.923022 1.264217
2025-12-14 0.234670 0.303291 0.393300 0.522414 0.706936 0.967646 1.376098
2025-12-21 0.214342 0.281800 0.372217 0.505111 0.700425 0.985225 1.448216
2025-12-28 0.205324 0.274813 0.370093 0.513786 0.731388 1.059688 1.615448
2026-01-04 0.196661 0.267538 0.366758 0.519991 0.758597 1.130326 1.784397
2026-01-11 0.188050 0.259638 0.361773 0.522995 0.780623 1.194259 1.949305
2026-01-18 0.179981 0.251926 0.356391 0.524702 0.800306 1.255685 2.116917
2026-01-25 0.173162 0.245574 0.352508 0.528231 0.822893 1.323679 2.304758
2026-02-01 0.163154 0.233982 0.340101 0.517483 0.821132 1.350103 2.419292
2026-02-08 0.157562 0.228805 0.337292 0.522154 0.846128 1.426727 2.643605
2026-02-15 0.150562 0.221019 0.329831 0.518389 0.855738 1.475712 2.818138
2026-02-22 0.145513 0.215983 0.326401 0.521088 0.876965 1.548460 3.053525
2026-03-01 0.138900 0.208097 0.317851 0.514236 0.879860 1.585593 3.215669
2026-03-08 0.132856 0.200816 0.309873 0.507791 0.882856 1.622991 3.383818
2026-03-15 0.125293 0.190710 0.296651 0.491073 0.864735 1.615243 3.443827
2026-03-22 0.122827 0.188863 0.297252 0.499455 0.896231 1.714378 3.780460
2026-03-29 0.120074 0.186392 0.296618 0.505450 0.923393 1.807118 4.117557
2026-04-05 0.116956 0.183146 0.294443 0.508352 0.944413 1.888536 4.439789
2026-04-12 0.113811 0.179703 0.291728 0.510001 0.962893 1.966159 4.766229